Friday, May 28, 2010

Numbers for episode 9 of TUF, ep 3 of Prime Time:

After a softer week eight, TUF bounced back a bit with a 1.1 rating and an ave audience of 1.5 million.

Season so far:
Episode 1: 1.5 rating with a 2.1 in M18-34, 1.8 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.9 million.
Episode 2: 1.2 rating with a 1.9 in M18-34, 1.54 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.5 million
Episode 3: 1.3 rating with a 1.63 in M18-34, 1.53 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.6 million.
Episode 4: 1.5 rating with a 2.4 in M18-34, a 1.9 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 2 million.
Episode 5: 1.3 rating with a 2.6 in M18-34, a 1.92 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.8 million.
Episode 6: 1.3 rating with a 1.54 in M18-34, 1.4 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.7 million
Episode 7: 1.3 rating with a 1.9 in m18-34, a 1.7 in m18-49 and an ave aud of 1.8 million
Episode 8: 1.0 rating with a 1.5 in m18-34, a 1.2 in m18-49 and an ave aud of 1.3 million
Episode 9: 1.1 rating with an ave aud of 1.5 million

The go home episode of PRIME TIME: Rampage vs. Evans drew 1.1 million viewers, up from 875,000 for the second episode. The debut episode did a show high 1.2 million viewers.

Monday, May 24, 2010

Early numbers for UFC 113.

Early estimates for UFC 113 look to be around 500-540k buys.

Dave Meltzer, in the last Observer (Subscription required and recommended), stated it appears to have done 520,000 and that the first had done 450,000.

Early reports on UFC 113 on 5/8 in Montreal have the show doing 520,000 buys, slightly above the 450,000 that the first Lyoto Machida vs. Mauricio "Shogun" Rua fight did. We should note that there were cable reports as high as 687,000 for the show, and trending patterns were only slightly behind GSP vs. Dan Hardy and the highest besides that show since August, which would also indicate something closer to the latter than the former. There are a lot of other measures that also indicate the higher number, but as far as the number of buys from people who would have the numbers and that can be confirmed, the lower number is the best number we've got.

I had heard a broader range of 500-540k, but Meltzer is almost always solid. It should be noted that these early reports can be off by 10-15% and that more reliable numbers should start floating out in another week to week and a half. That said, I will be shocked beyond words if they ends up anywhere NEAR 687k.

My own prediction was 575-600k. Anything over 500k is solid. 520k is not a great number, but it is good for a show that got little real promotion. Zuffa appears to have opted to focus their marketing power on the upcoming Evans/Jackson fight (UFC 114), a card that will do one of the bigger, if not the biggest, buyrate of the year. One thing that is noteworthy: Kimbo Slice's presence on the card does not appear to have had any real impact on the buyrates.

That is not to say he can't still pop some ratings on television, but it does not appear to go beyond free TV.

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Ratings slip in week eight of TUF XI.

The numbers took a drop this week as episode eight did a 1.0 with an ave audience of 1.3 million.

General thinking is that the NBA playoffs damaged TUF as the Lakers/Suns game drew over seven million viewers.

I am betting next week will be one of the bigger drawing episodes of the season as the promo announces Tito pulling out of the Liddell fight, we get two fights and there is a confrontation between the coaches.

Thus far, this is the strongest season since TUF V with Pulver and Penn.
Season so far:
Episode 1: 1.5 rating with a 2.1 in M18-34, 1.8 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.9 million.
Episode 2: 1.2 rating with a 1.9 in M18-34, 1.54 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.5 million
Episode 3: 1.3 rating with a 1.63 in M18-34, 1.53 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.6 million.
Episode 4: 1.5 rating with a 2.4 in M18-34, a 1.9 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 2 million.
Episode 5: 1.3 rating with a 2.6 in M18-34, a 1.92 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.8 million.
Episode 6: 1.3 rating with a 1.54 in M18-34, 1.4 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.7 million
Episode 7: 1.3 rating with a 1.9 in m18-36, a 1.7 in m18-49 and an ave aud of 1.8 million

Thursday, May 13, 2010

TUF XI week seven numbers holding steady.

Just past the half-way point of the season, TUF XI is still drawing strong numbers. Episode seven delivered a 1.3 rating with 1.8 million viewers.

Thus far, this is the strongest season since TUF V with Pulver and Penn.
Season so far:
Episode 1: 1.5 rating with a 2.1 in M18-34, 1.8 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.9 million.
Episode 2: 1.2 rating with a 1.9 in M18-34, 1.54 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.5 million
Episode 3: 1.3 rating with a 1.63 in M18-34, 1.53 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.6 million.
Episode 4: 1.5 rating with a 2.4 in M18-34, a 1.9 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 2 million.
Episode 5: 1.3 rating with a 2.6 in M18-34, a 1.92 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.8 million.
Episode 6: 1.3 rating with a 1.54 in M18-34, 1.4 in M18-49 and an ave aud of 1.7 million

Numbers of ep one of PRIME TIME: Rampage vs. Evans looking good.

Episode one of UFC Primetime: Rampage vs. Evans delived a damn impressive 1.2 million veiwers and had a rating of 0.9.

For comparison, the first ep of GSP/Hardy did one million viewers while GSP/Penn did 880,000.

Obviously we don't know if they can sustain those numbers but if they can, UFC 114 will likely be one of the biggest of the year. Don't forget that THE A-TEAM launches in early June and there will be a moderate amount of PR for it in the week leading up to UFC 114.

Wednesday, May 5, 2010

Meaningless Statistics: Strikeforce 2006-2010.

Hey folks! On Monday, I posted the stats for WEC from 2007 to 2010 and tonight, I have the numbers for STRIKEFORCE.

The numbers for SF are tough to analyze because of the Challenger/Young Guns cards as well as the fact that the early cards had a very mixed bag regarding talent.

2010 thus far:
# of fights: 43
KO/TKOs: 19 for 44%
Subs: 9 for 21%
Decisions: 14 for 33%
Draw: 1 for 2%

2009:
# of fights: 97
KO/TKOs: 33 for 34%
Subs: 34 for 35%
Decisions: 14 for 28%
DQ: 1 for 1%
No Contests: 1 for 1%

2008:
# of fights: 85
KO/TKOs: 31 for 37%
Subs: 28 for 33%
Decisions: 26 for 31%

2007:
# of fights: 47
KO/TKOs: 21 for 45%
Subs: 10 for 21%
Decisions: 15 for 32%

2006:
# of Fights: 47
KO/TKOs: 16 for 34%
Subs: 19 for 40%
Decisions: 10 for 21%
Draws: 1 for 2%

Overall:
# of fights: 319
KO/TKOs: 120 for 39%
Subs: 100 for 31%
Decisions: 93 for 29%
Draw: 2 for 1%
DQ: 1 for less than 1%
No Contest: 2 for 1%

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Meaningless statistics: WEC finishes 2007-2010

Let me start out by saying the point of this post is to simply show the percetages of finishes.

For a while, I have been planning on taking a look at how fights end in the various orgs. Tonight, fueled by vodka and caffeine, I decided to start this project.

Here is a look at how fights have gone in the WEC in the last few years:

2010 thus far:
# of fights: 32
KO/TKOs: 5 for 16%
Subs: 13 for 41%
Decisions: 13 for 41%
Draw: 1 for 2%

2009:
# of fights: 80
KO/TKOs: 25 for 31%
Subs: 17 for 21%
Decisions: 37 for 46%
No Contests: 1 for 1%

2008:
# of fights: 61
KO/TKOs: 28 for 46%
Subs: 16 for 26%
Decisions: 15 for 25%
Draw: 1 for 2%
DQ: 1 for 2%

2007:
# of fights: 66
KO/TKOs: 21 for 32%
Subs: 28 for 41%
Decisions: 17 for 26%

Overall:
# of fights: 239
KO/TKOs: 79 for 33%
Subs: 74 for 31%
Decisions: 82 for 34%
Draw: 2 for 1%
DQ: 1 for less than 1%
No Contest: 1 for less than 1%